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The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future
Date
2012Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software
has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous
simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single
dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for
equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of
outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user
choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the
LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The
perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic
buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by
professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09
projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns.
Citation
Banfill, P.F.G.; Jenkins, D.P.; Patidar, S.; Gul, M.; Menzies, G.F.; Gibson, G.J. (2012). The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future. Energy Systems Laboratory (http://esl.tamu.edu); Texas A&M University (http://www.tamu.edu). Available electronically from https : / /hdl .handle .net /1969 .1 /148945.