Visit the Energy Systems Laboratory Homepage.
Development of Baseline Monthly Utility Models for Fort Hood, Texas
Abstract
The Fort Hood Army base in central
Texas has more than 5,200 buildings and can be
considered as typical of large Department of
Defense Army bases in the continental United
States. The annual utility bill of the base exceeds
$25 million. Baseline monthly models for
electricity use, electricity demand, gas use, and
water use for the three cantonment areas of Fort
Hood have been developed. Such models can be
used as screening tools for detecting changes in
future utility bills and also to track/evaluate the
extent to which Presidential Executive Order
12902, mandating 30% decrease in energy utility
bills from 1985 to 2005, is being met. In this
analysis, 1990 has been selected as the baseline
year to illustrate the predictive capability of the
models. Since ascertaining the uncertainty of
our predictions is very important for meaningful
evaluations, we have also presented the relevant
equations for computing the 95% prediction
intervals of the regression models and illustrated
their use with measured data over the period
1989 - 1993.
This study also evaluated two different
types of energy modeling software- the Princeton
Scorekeeping method (PRISM) and EModel- in
order to ascertain which is more appropriate for
baseline modeling of large Army installations
such as Fort Hood. It was found that the EModel
software, which has more flexibility to handle
different types of linear single variate change
point models, gave more accurate modeling
results.
Citation
Reddy, T. A.; Saman, N. F.; Claridge, D. E.; Haberl, J. S.; Turner, W. D.; Chalifoux, A. (1996). Development of Baseline Monthly Utility Models for Fort Hood, Texas. Energy Systems Laboratory (http://esl.tamu.edu); Texas A&M University (http://www.tamu.edu). Available electronically from https : / /hdl .handle .net /1969 .1 /6706.