Stanford Sociology Technical Reports and Working Papers, 1961-1993

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Alternative Estimation Procedures for Event-History Analysis: A Monte Carlo Study
(2015-08-15) Carroll, Glenn R; Hannan, Michael T; Tuma, Nancy Brandon; Warsavage, Barbara
The authors compare alternative procedures for estimating parameters of event-history models: ordinary least squares, Kaplan-Meier least squares, maximum likelihood, and partial likelihood. They report results of simulations comparing maximum likelihood and partial likelihood estimators for small samples in terms of several potential sources of error. A related paper is Tuma, Hannan, and Groeneveld (1979).
Dynamics of Formal Political Structure: An Event-History Analysis
(2015-08-15) Hannan, Michael T; Carroll, Glenn R
The authors apply event history analysis to records on 90 countries from 1950-1975 to test hypotheses consistent with world systems and modernization hypotheses. The hypotheses predict factors associated with political change from/to one-party and multi-party governments. Modernization hypotheses predict that changes making a society more modern (that is, more like European societies) increase the chances for multi-party democratic governments. World systems hypotheses predict that governments are more affected by a country’s place in the world economic system than by internal changes. Results here show small effects of modernizing on government form, and event history methods show a complex relationship between GNP per capita and form of government.